Aussie Iron Ore Producers the Stock Market Winners Today

Aussie iron ore producers are one of the big winners today.

At time of writing Fortescue Metals Group Ltd [ASX:FMG] is trading 3.71% higher, BHP Group Ltd [ASX:BHP] increased 1.93% and Rio Tinto Ltd [ASX:RIO] is up 2.12%.

But it’s not just the majors.

Smaller iron ore companies are also up. Champion Iron Ltd [ASX:CIA] jumped 6.78% and Mount Gibson Iron Ltd [ASX:MGX] is up 3.68% today.

Why are ASX iron ore producers shares up today?

Mainly because of hits to both supply and demand.

As I wrote on Friday, iron ore prices have jumped higher after Brazilian iron ore giant Vale downgraded their production forecast to 300–305 million tonnes per year from 310–330 million tonnes after suffering disruptions from the pandemic. You can read more on this here.

Iron ore prices boosted higher after the announcement with the Dalian to around US$145 a tonne on supply concerns.

And then there’s demand. Demand has been ramping up with China increasing their spending on infrastructure to fuel their recovery. China is the largest iron ore importer in the world with most of their imports coming from Australia first and Brazil in second place.

As Reuters wrote recently, China’s stockpiles have been declining as it heads into winter:

China’s steel inventories have declined substantially from a seasonal record high of 12.92 million tonnes to just slightly above the five-year seasonal average of 10.46 million last week, OCBC Bank economist Howie Lee said.

Strong end-user demand and the recent shutdown of some plants in China’s top steelmaking city of Tangshan may have led to the rapid drawdown in stocks, Lee said.

That is, we have a perfect combination of less supply and increasing demand.

What could happen next?

Looks like we’ll continue to see high iron ore prices in the short term, with Vale’s supply still affected from the pandemic…as long as demand from China stays strong.

Higher iron ore prices have given Fortescue, in particular, quite a year, with its share price up 115% in the last 12 months. It’s also meant some nice dividends for shareholders. Fortescue’s trailing annual dividend yield is at 5.90% and Rio’s is at 5.37%, for example.

If you are interested in dividend plays, check out Greg Canavan’s free report ‘Five Dividend Stocks set to Thrive in the Post-Pandemic Era’.

To download this free report, click here.


Selva Freigedo


Selva Freigedo is a research analyst for The Rum Rebellion.

Born in Argentina, her passion for economic analysis started at a young age. Her father was an economist for the Argentinean governments and the family used to discuss politics and economics at the dinner table.

Argentina is a country with an unusual economic history. Growing up there gave Selva first-hand experience on different economic phenomena such as hyperinflation, devaluation and debt default.

Selva has also lived in Brazil, Spain and the USA.

Back in 2000 she was living in the US as the dot com bubble popped…
And in 2008 she was in Spain as the property market exploded and then collapsed…

She has seen first-hand what happens when bubbles burst.

Selva joined Fat Tail Investment Research’s team in 2016, as an analyst. She now writes from her vantage point in Australia, where she settled in 2015.

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